AFC East: Jets Limp to Finish, Mangini Crawls Away

Football Betting Lines

12/30/2008 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Every gambler knows the risks associated with going all-in.

Jets head coach Eric Mangini was well-aware of the message the organization was sending when, in the wake of a 4-12 campaign, the team made a series of moves aimed at getting the club back in the playoff field.

The trade for Brett Favre in August was the most notable, but by no means the only transaction that was supposed to put the Jets on a collision course with the playoff field. The trade for nose tackle Kris Jenkins, signing of pass rusher Calvin Pace and offensive linemen Alan Faneca and Damien Woody, and mid-season acquisition of cornerback Ty Law were other high-profile moves made with obvious intent.

As the season began, NFL observers expected the Jets to be much-improved, at the very least. Then, when Tom Brady went down to a season-ending knee injury in Week 1 and stripped the Patriots of their unquestioned favorite status in the AFC East, Gang Green was supposed to be the club that stepped into the vacuum. When New York ascended into first place with a supposedly telling 34-13 beat-down of the previously unbeaten Tennessee Titans on Nov. 23, the then-8-3 Jets looked like they were making good on all of the lofty predictions.

Then it all came crashing down, and Mangini watched his once-huge pile of chips disappear, one by one.

The Jets would win just one more time the rest of the year, getting an extremely lucky bounce to beat the last-place Bills in Week 15. Included in their 1-4 season-ending stretch were three double-digit losses to teams - the Broncos, 49ers, and Seahawks - that would finish .500 or worse. Sunday's 24-17 home loss to Chad Pennington and the playoff-bound Miami Dolphins sealed the Jets' fate as a third-place, non-playoff team, and Mangini - to the surprise of few - was made the scapegoat.

Owner Woody Johnson and general manager Mike Tannenbaum made the decision, and announced it to the world less than 24 hours after the Miami loss was complete.

"Mike and I felt in our judgment that it was time now to make a change," said Johnson. "This is not a decision that we reached yesterday or 10 minutes ago. This is a decision that was running through the season. Mike and I talk every day. One of the things that we talk about is the performance of the coaches, the team and how we're doing with our fans who we represent. We don't take this decision lightly. We respect Eric for what he's done, but we want to build on the successful foundation that he's laid."

On balance, Mangini's tenure doesn't look all that dreadful, especially when his body of work is compared to predecessors like Rich Kotite (4-28), Pete Carroll (6-10), and Bruce Coslet (26-39). The former Patriots defensive coordinator had two winning seasons in his three years on the job, going 23-26 including a playoff loss to the Patriots in his first season. The team's five- game improvement this year could be used as evidence that things were headed in the right direction under Mangini.

But the final five weeks of the 2008 season fly in the face of that contention, and with teams like the Dolphins (1-15 to 11-5), Falcons (4-12 to 11-5) and Ravens (5-11 to 11-5) displaying more significant, playoff-bound turnarounds, it was management's judgment that this team had underachieved.

All of the epitaphs for Mangini will include early mention of Favre's name. The team's late-season collapse will be forever linked to the 39-year-old legend's dreadful play over the 1-4 finish, when he threw two touchdown passes, nine interceptions, and never posted a passer rating above 61.4.

Given that Favre had posted three straight 100-plus passer ratings prior to the five-game swoon, speculation about whether the quarterback's arm was healthy or not has run rampant. Favre said he would have an MRI on his shoulder this week, and the results of that procedure will likely have much to say about his future with the club. Favre has not committed to returning in 2009, but the Jets seem to be in his corner despite his miserable December play and possible health concerns.

"We, as an organization, want Brett back," said Johnson. "I think that will unfold over the days and weeks from now. We're really focused right now to start a thorough search for a new coach. We'll go on from there for players."

Whether the new head man would want Favre, and vice versa, will be a subject of debate in the coming weeks and months. Early reports linking Bill Cowher and Marty Schottenheimer to the vacancy suggest, that unlike Mangini, the target this time around will be a proven, veteran coach who is unlikely to bow to the whims of a future Hall of Fame quarterback.

"We will, very quickly, start a process to find, as Mike often puts it, 'looking under every rock,' for talent," said Johnson. "That's the talent to lead this team on to the next successful level. This process has started right now. We will be very, very thorough and select somebody that can succeed Eric and build on the good foundation that he and people in management have built."

BILLS: For at least a couple more days, Buffalo head coach Dick Jauron will twist in the wind.

After the Bills concluded their own collapse with a 13-0, wind-aided loss to the Patriots on Sunday - the team's first home shutout defeat since 1983 - team owner Ralph Wilson began to deliberate about the future of Jauron, who has posted identical 7-9 marks in each of his three years on the job.

On Tuesday, Wilson was reportedly to meet with Bills COO Russ Brandon, head of scouting Tom Modrak, and team treasurer Jeff Littmann to discuss Jauron's status.

"I have nothing definitive tonight to give you," Wilson told The Buffalo News on Monday. "We had a meeting [Monday]. We're going to have a meeting [Tuesday] and [Wednesday], and then you'll have your answer."

Jauron reportedly signed a three-year contract extension earlier this season, but following the team's 2-8 finish, one of the main components of Wilson's discussions with team brass will likely center on the cost of buying him out.

The Bills are not an organization with a reputation for throwing money around needlessly, and Wilson might determine that a buyout of Jauron, coupled with the dollars necessary to lure a new head coach with any type of profile to Western New York, might be too steep a price to pay.

The availability of other coaches might also impact Wilson's decision.

The hottest candidates with a track record (Bill Cowher, Brian Billick, and probably even ex-Bills linebacker Marty Schottenheimer) are a pipe dream for Buffalo, and those perceived to be among the brightest coordinators (Steve Spagnuolo, Leslie Frazier, Jim Schwartz, Josh McDaniels, Rex Ryan) are probably going to rate Buffalo low among their would-be suitors.

And, though the number of head jobs turning over was expected to reach double digits, as of Tuesday only three coaches - the Lions' Rod Marinelli, Browns' Romeo Crennel, and Jets' Eric Mangini - had been let go, further reducing the potential candidate pool.

Those factors weigh in Jauron's favor, though the team's dismal finish and Wilson's reputation in regard to coaches do not.

Since Marv Levy departed following the 1997 season, no Buffalo coach has lasted more than three years with the organization.

DOLPHINS: At the midway point of the 2008 season, when the Bills, Jets, and Patriots were tied at 5-3 atop the AFC East, and the Dolphins sat one game back at 4-4, it was hard to imagine that Miami would not only vault all of its competitors into the top spot in the division, but also be the only entry from the contentious East that would make it into the playoff field.

But that's exactly what happened, as the once-2-4 Fins finished off a 9-1 stretch of football with Sunday's 24-17 win at the Jets and advanced to the postseason for the first time since 2001. The division title was Miami's first since 2000, and the Dolphins reached the record books as the first club to go from 1-15 to the playoffs the next year. The team's 10-game improvement matched the best ascent in league annals, tying the 1999 Colts' move from 3-13 to 13-3.

As it turned out, Miami needed every one of its 11 wins to extend its season, as the Patriots, also 11-5, found themselves on the business end of a tiebreaker and missed the playoffs altogether.

Say what you want about the Dolphins and some of their competition (Miami's only win over a playoff team came against the 8-8 Chargers), but it is impossible to argue that a Fins team that went 5-0 on the road during its 9-1 run either backed into the field or failed to earn their spot in the January tournament.

"I honestly think this was a combination of a lot of hard work from a lot of different people," said Tony Sparano, nearly certain to win NFL Coach of the Year honors in his first year on the job. "Bill (Parcells), [GM] Jeff Ireland and all of our administration staff, but more importantly, the players. The off-season programs to make this kind of turnaround...I think the players in that locker room are the ones that made this possible."

Miami's first-round opponent will be Baltimore, also the Dolphins' most recent playoff opponent back in 2001, as the Ravens will travel to Miami to partake in Sunday's early game.

The Ravens were 27-13 winners at Miami in Week 7.

PATRIOTS: Heading into Sunday's game, the New England Patriots needed just a little bit of help in order to make the playoff field. They went begging.

The Patriots controlled what they could, getting to 11-5 with a 13-0 win over Buffalo, then watched doors slam all around them. Their shot at the second AFC Wild Card disappeared when the Ravens put the hammer down against the Jaguars, 27-7, and moments later, the Dolphins' 24-17 victory over the Jets put New England on the business end of the AFC East tiebreaker.

The Pats became the first 11-5 team to miss the playoffs since the 1985 Broncos, and added some more ammunition to the argument of those who think the playoff bracket needs to be expanded.

New England is out of the postseason money for the first time since 2002, when it was on the wrong side of a 9-7 tie-breaker with the Jets for the division (Miami was also 9-7 and out of the field that year). With Sunday's victory, however, the Patriots finished in at least a tie for the AFC East top spot for the eighth consecutive time, dating back to 2001.

"I couldn't be prouder of the team and what it has done in the last four weeks after the Pittsburgh game," said head coach Bill Belichick on Monday. "When you go at something like we have since the end of July - you go from meetings to practice, to watching film, to game planning, to making personnel decisions, to playing a game, to wrapping it up [and] going on to the next game. You are just on that treadmill and it's going pretty fast. It's always - even though it happens every year - kind of sudden when it stops. You still get a little bit of a jolt and I think that is kind of where we are now that the season ended abruptly yesterday. As I said, even though I've been through a lot of them, I don't think you are ever quite ready for it when it happens.

"I think that everybody that participated in this season, in the 11-5 season, has a lot to be proud of. That includes all of the above: the players, the coaches, the organization, the scouts, everybody. We feel good about a lot of the things that we accomplished this year. Unfortunately, it wasn't enough for us to keep playing next week and so we're disappointed with that. But what we did accomplish this year, I think it goes to the hard work of all of those people that are involved. We had some things to deal with. We had four West Coast games. We had some weather games. Our last five games of the year were all played in difficult weather situations. I understand the teams on the other side of the field played in those same situations; I'm not looking for any sympathy there. I'm just saying those are challenges for our team to meet, whether it is rain, wind, snow, or a combination. You can go right down the list. There were a number of things that we dealt with this year and I think that - organizationally, including the operations people setting up the trips on the West Coast, to the players, to the coaches, to our medical staff, to everybody - they worked hard and there were a lot of positive things this year. I wish it could have been a little bit more. I think there are a lot of things that we did that I'm proud of the way we did them."

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Albert Pujols to be This Year's Home Run Champ Says Online Sportsbook

Barry Bonds is a 50-1 long shot to be this year's home run champ odds.  The favorite to be this year's home run champ is none other than Albert Pujols, however.

Now that Barry Bonds is signed and in Giants camp, it is on to his pursuit of all of sports most prestigious records: the all-time home run mark. Bonds sits just 21 homers shy of tying Hank Aaron for the career mark at 755. Word out of Giants’ camp is that Bonds is the healthiest he has been in a few years. Bonds is just two seasons removed from his injury riddled 2005 campaign where he played in only 14 games and hit only 5 home runs. He did come back last year and had a solid season hitting .270 with 26 bombs. All eyes will be on Bonds this spring and summer not only because of his home run chase but his highly publicized steroid abuse allegations. If and when Bonds breaks the record, he surely will not get the positive attention one should for breaking a record that was once thought of as “unbreakable”. Despite Bonds decent season last year, he is just 50-1 at MySportsbook.com to lead the MLB in long balls this season.

Not surprisingly, the favorites to go deep the most times this season are Albert Pujols 5-1, Ryan Howard 6-1, David Ortiz 8-1 and Alex Rodriguez 12-1. With 49 homers, Pujols finished second in the National League behind Howard (58). Pujols is considered the favorite due to the consistent power numbers that he has posted since breaking into the league in 2001. Also one must consider the fact that he played in 16 fewer games then Howard did due to an injury. Howard smashed 58 homers in his first complete season of big league play en route to the National League MVP odds award. He silenced his critics by successfully hitting left-handed pitching. Howard also displayed the ability to use his power to the opposite field. Two attributes which should keep Howard amongst the league leaders in long balls for years to come. From the American League representatives, David Ortiz leads the field. Ortiz was second in the majors last year with 54 home runs. Except for 1999 when he only played in 10 games, Ortiz has improved on his home run numbers each year he has been in the majors (1997).

Be sure to log onto online sports betting site MySportsbook.com to check out the odds for who will lead the MLB in home runs this season. Below is just a sample of the players listed. With the highest credit card rates in the industry, MySportsbook.com is the place to bet on baseball this summer.

World Series odds

Adam Dunn 15-1

Albert Pujols 5-1

Alex Rodriguez 12-1

Alfonso Soriano 15-1

Andruw Jones 25-1

Barry Bonds 50-1

Carlos Delgado 40-1

David Ortiz 8-1

Jermaine Dye 40-1

Ken Griffey Jr. 100-1

Lance Berkman 40-1

Manny Ramirez 20-1

Richie Sexson 40-1

Ryan Howard 6-1

Travis Hafner 20-1

Vladimir Guerrero 40-1

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com - this sportsbook accepts credit cards.

College Football Betting Tips From a Pro

While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.

Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.

The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.

What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.

These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.

College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.

Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.

Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.

Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.

I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.

Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.

It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.

As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.

Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.